A Model of Price Formation in Frictionless Markets

Abstract

The discovery of universal constants is fundamental to the advancement of science. A recent empirical hypothesis suggests the existence of a market microstructure invariant that is constant across assets and time. Here, I investigate this hypothesis by developing a model of price formation in frictionless markets. Through theoretical analysis, I find that the invariant actually varies depending on several characteristics. By accounting for these characteristics, I propose a generalized invariant predicted to be constant and equal to one. Using a comprehensive dataset of U.S. stocks between September 2003 and December 2021, I find that the generalized invariant is more homogeneous across assets and time and has a median value of 1.07 with an interquartile range between 0.63 and 1.65. Overall, this work contributes to a broader understanding of asset prices and the joint relationship among prices, volume, volatility, effective spread, trading frequency, market depth, market fragmentation, and several imbalance measures.

Publication
Available at SSRN
Emanuele Guidotti
Emanuele Guidotti
Postdoctoral Researcher